All the above said, Radek and company can't really do anything significant. They're confined mostly to waiting for China to make their approach from Siberia to relieve their situation and help get an actual flow of supplies in. At the moment most of what they get is what the Siberians and Chinese can get there through flying the Arctic circle or when the ice packs in the ocean are at its thinnest. It's not a well built region, and some commentators might conclude the European Bloc as being a failure of Communism. So there's no threat - militarily or ideologically - in their existence and probably why Spain hasn't decided to invade them first instead of Ethiopia.

Piracy from Saint Petersburg would be a big to get in extra shit. But wouldn't be major. Not enough to invoke an invasion from any of its neighbors.

And getting involved there would get your boots dragged into the knee-deep quagmire that is Russia and the Russian underground. The surface of the former nation is barely there. Under neath you got a whole lot of things that the Chinese IB can't really make much sense of.