[quote=@Silver Carrot]
[@ArenaSnow]

In my current experience, not even close. Every single casual rp I join, I have absolutely no idea what my character's even doing to do or how they'll develop until like ten posts in. 
[/quote]

Can you make it seem natural and does the story flow regardless?

It's bad if you're holding back the story and people are calling you out, but if you can put out a decent length post that pushes your character through to do things, look like you know what you're doing even if you aren't (I consider myself decent at that) and end up finding your footing, that's fine.