And I was right in Trayvon Martin's case.

I am not 100% sure, as a matter of fact, I used the word "preponderance", which means 51%. 

I sided with Wilson because of Occam's razor, that being the simplest solution tends to be correct. Wilson's version of events requires significantly less suspension of belief.

Difficult to believe elements of Wilson's story:

~Unarmed kid assaults armed officer. Which isn't that difficult to believe.

Difficult to believe elements of the "Wilson=murder" side:

~Racist cop leaves witness.
~Racist cop kills in broad daylight
~Cop can't shoot for anything, when he is uninjured and can take as much time to aim as he wants, or get closer.
~Kid who just commits robbery and is walking down the street doesn't get off the street when told to by a cop for no reason, rather than he fears impending arrest.
~Al Sharpton is correct on anything.