I wouldn't get too excited. Poll results don't always represent the results of the vote. Case in point, in the last Alberta provincial election, the Wild Rose party constantly was ahead in polls and when the election rolled around, they were crushed by one of the biggest landslide Conservative victories in Alberta history. Same deal with Quebec's sovereignty referendums. They keep making it sound like a sure thing with these polls, but as you may have noticed, they're still a part of Canada.