Yea, for the most part the Republic is going to buckle really soon. A Chinese agent and a Russian insurgent buddy went out on a mission to kidnap the president of the Republic to hold him for ransom, or to force the Republic to kneel.

So at the moment there's the Republican Duma trying to assert control in the wake and the army trying to assert the authority of the president. Both will very soon (or as soon as it takes me to write China actually taking note) start fighting each other and basically split the fighting forces in two.

But it's not as bad as Southern Russia where you have Cossacks set up with inter-lapping quasi-states, ethnic minorities trying to hold out where they're the strongest, and a few larger cities that can exert local control building the framework of a loosely defined confederacy.