[quote=@ClocktowerEchos]
I have a question: if Scotland, north Ireland and Wales break off from England, wtf is the Union Jack going g to become? The Queen's Jack?
[/quote]

Wales and Northern Ireland aren't real countries and therefore aren't likely to leave the UK. Wales has never actually existed (and also voted in favour of Leave), and most folks in Northern Ireland identify more with Great Britain than the actual inhabitants of Great Britain. Northern Irish Unionists weren't united behind Leave and yet still managed to win 44.8% of the vote in the EU referendum. Add onto that 44.8% figure all of the Unionists who support the EU, and you have a very hefty majority in favour of remaining a part of the UK. The possibility of a return to sectarian conflict is also probably enough to convince at least some Republicans to support the status quo. [i]Aaaand[/i] all of that is only relevant if the government in Northern Ireland actually calls for a border poll, which isn't terribly likely because the incumbent First Minister of Northern Ireland is Arlene Foster, leader of the very unionist DUP.

The only real possibility for a withdrawal from the United Kingdom is in Scotland. That's something the British government is going to have to work against, but they're going to be helped by three factors that weren't there in September of 2014.

1. The last referendum on that topic was just two years ago. Circumstances have changed, absolutely, but is this going to be the new normal for the SNP? Trying to call a referendum every few years until their side wins one? With the last referendum there was no doubt as to the legitimacy, this time around there will be at least some. Alex Salmond called the last referendum "the chance of a lifetime", saying that these sorts of national decisions come "once in a generation". Not so much, Salmond.

2. The SNP doesn't have a majority in Scottish Parliament any more. They could conceivably still initiate a call for a referendum, perhaps with support from the separatist Greens, but they would face strong opposition before they even got a referendum bill out of Holyrood. That wouldn't bode well for the referendum itself.

3. The price of oil is less than half of what it was at the time of the last referendum, and an independent Scotland would depend on oil revenue for a very large portion of its financial needs. The SNP would have a tough time convincing undecided folks that the Republic of Scotland is even viable, let alone desirable.