Hmm... No, I do think Cipher will pull him out before he's able to defeat the three dudes. She'll probably end up making a case for him, convincing Henry to let her train him. Probably something about how most people coming into the group have had some sort of training before coming into the group and Michel is at an unfair advantage. She'll have to give something up for it, but I think she'd rather see him succeed. Dunno why she would do that other than seeing herself in him, or seeing him as a brother or some idealist crap. Who knows.
But if you want to leave it to probability, I'm all for it. I just know that unless luck is on his side, he won't be able to defeat those three guys. But, we can also very well bullshit that. I.E. Steve ate some really bad mexican food before coming and couldn't concentrate enough to even so much as get a hit in. Or, when Michel strayed to the left, he did so in such a way that reflected a concentrated beam of light to flash into Jacob's eyes, giving Michel just the right amount of time to land a powerful jab into the man's jugular.
Something like that could work.